Real Salt Lake
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 436 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Real Salt Lake drew 103 where the draw model expected 111.8 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 109.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 05 Aug 2021 → 07 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 02 Apr 2017 → 20 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 12 Jul 2015 → 25 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 09 Mar 2019 → 11 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 10 Mar 2018 → 10 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 06 Jul 2025 → 12 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 23 Feb 2025 → 04 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 03 Apr 2016 → 03 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 10 Sep 2026 → 27 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 04 Apr 2026 → 17 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 520 | 124 | 23.8% | 8 | 19 |
| US Open Cup | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 8 |
| 2025 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 14 |
| 2024 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2023 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 19 |
| 2020 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 2019 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 15 |
| 2018 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 15 |
| 2017 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 19 |
| 2016 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 10 |
| 2015 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 17 |
| 2014 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2013 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2012 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 8 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
Philadelphia Union
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 01:30 |
Real Salt Lake
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 00:30 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 00:30 |
Real Salt Lake
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.0% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 00:30 |
Austin FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 21:00 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
Real Salt Lake
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.