Portland Timbers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 447 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Portland Timbers drew 114 where the draw model expected 112.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 112.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 17 Jul 2016 → 23 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 20 Sep 2021 → 04 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 22 Jul 2019 → 19 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 26 May 2019 → 10 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 10 Mar 2019 → 11 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 18 Jun 2012 → 29 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 19 Apr 2021 → 20 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 20 Jun 2024 → 21 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 28 Apr 2024 → 30 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 29 Jul 2018 → 30 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 527 | 147 | 27.9% | 5 | 18 |
| US Open Cup | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 6 |
| 2025 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 4 |
| 2024 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2022 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 13 |
| 2020 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 12 |
| 2018 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 7 |
| 2017 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 14 |
| 2015 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 6 |
| 2014 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2013 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 00:30 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 02:30 |
LA Galaxy
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 02:30 |
Portland Timbers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 02:30 |
Portland Timbers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 00:30 |
St. Louis City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 02:30 |
Portland Timbers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
Austin FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.