Philadelphia Union
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 449 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Philadelphia Union drew 113 where the draw model expected 112.3 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 112.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 31 May 2018 → 30 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 09 Jul 2022 → 11 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 21 Sep 2012 → 30 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 07 Oct 2018 → 10 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 26 May 2012 → 13 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 01 Nov 2025 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 13 Aug 2025 → 18 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 03 Oct 2015 → 23 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 03 Oct 2024 → 29 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 07 May 2017 → 25 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 514 | 129 | 25.1% | 8 | 14 |
| US Open Cup | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 3 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 1 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 2024 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2023 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 13 |
| 2021 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 2020 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 6 |
| 2019 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 18 |
| 2017 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2016 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2015 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 7 |
| 2013 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2012 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 11 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
Philadelphia Union
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 00:30 |
Chicago Fire
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 18:30 |
Philadelphia Union
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 23:30 |
Philadelphia Union
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 00:30 |
Nashville SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 18:00 |
FC Cincinnati
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 21:00 |
Philadelphia Union
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.