Parma Calcio
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 412 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Parma Calcio drew 122 where the draw model expected 110.4 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 117.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 18 May 2014 → 07 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 07 Mar 1996 → 09 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 21 Aug 2011 → 29 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 17 Sep 2006 → 29 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 31 Mar 2012 → 16 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 28 Apr 2001 → 25 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 10 Apr 2021 → 15 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 20 Oct 2000 → 17 Dec 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 15 Jul 2020 → 18 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 04 Nov 2001 → 06 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 949 | 272 | 28.7% | 2 | 15 |
| Serie B | 198 | 67 | 33.8% | 0 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 83 | 19 | 22.9% | 8 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 6 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 11 |
| 2020 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2019 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2018 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2017 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2015 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 8 |
| 2014 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 15 |
| 2013 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 12 |
| 2011 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 14 |
| 2010 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 2008 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 5 |
| 2006 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 13 |
| 2005 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2004 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 6 |
| 2003 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2002 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2001 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 12 |
| 2000 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 1998 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 6 |
| 1997 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 1996 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 15 |
| 1995 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 1994 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 9 |
| 1993 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 10 |
| 1992 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 16:00 |
Inter Milan
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.3% |
|
| Mon, 19 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 19 Oct 18:45 |
Parma Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 18:45 |
SS Lazio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:30 |
Parma Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.2% |
|
| Mon, 02 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Nov 19:45 |
Atalanta BC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 17:00 |
Parma Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.