Panathinaikos
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 512 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Panathinaikos drew 127 where the draw model expected 125.7 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 121.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 03 Apr 1996 → 20 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 25 May 1997 → 08 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 22 Nov 1998 → 28 Feb 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 15 Jan 2012 → 25 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 15 Feb 1998 → 17 May 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 08 Oct 2023 → 07 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 16 May 1999 → 26 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 18 Dec 2002 → 02 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 23 Aug 1998 → 04 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 02 Feb 1997 → 13 Apr 1997 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 1026 | 211 | 20.6% | 5 | 25 |
| Greek Football Cup | 433 | 84 | 19.4% | 7 | 12 |
| UEFA Champions League | 147 | 42 | 28.6% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 126 | 29 | 23.0% | 2 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 | 9 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 56 | 16 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 9 |
| 2023 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2022 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2021 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2020 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 12 |
| 2019 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2018 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2017 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2014 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 10 |
| 2013 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2012 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 17 |
| 2011 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 8 |
| 2010 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 12 |
| 2009 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 2008 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 2007 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2006 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 11 |
| 2005 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2004 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 11 |
| 2003 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 11 |
| 2002 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 11 |
| 2001 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 7 |
| 2000 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 11 |
| 1999 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 15 |
| 1998 | 50 | 5 | 10.0% | 17 |
| 1997 | 43 | 4 | 9.3% | 18 |
| 1996 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 21 |
| 1995 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 1994 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 1993 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1992 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1991 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 6 |
| 1990 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 1989 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1988 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 7 |
| 1987 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 1986 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 1985 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1984 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 10 |
| 1981 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1973 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1972 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1971 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1970 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1969 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1967 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1964 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1952 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 18:00 |
Olympiacos Piraeus
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 16:45 |
Panathinaikos
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:30 |
Panathinaikos
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 14:30 |
FC Kairat Almaty
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.9% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:00 |
Volos NFC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 17:00 |
Panathinaikos
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.6% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 20:00 |
Panathinaikos
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:30 |
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.