VfL Osnabrück
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 406 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), VfL Osnabrück drew 114 where the draw model expected 111.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 110.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 31 Oct 2020 → 28 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 16 Mar 2019 → 15 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 21 Feb 2026 → 03 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 10 Feb 2017 → 08 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 26 Oct 2003 → 13 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 13 Aug 2016 → 29 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 20 Apr 2013 → 17 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 03 Apr 2012 → 05 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 18 Feb 2024 → 20 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 02 Mar 2008 → 27 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 456 | 125 | 27.4% | 1 | 12 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 278 | 76 | 27.3% | 0 | 18 |
| DFB-Pokal | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 12 |
| 2025 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2023 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2022 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2021 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2020 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 9 |
| 2019 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 17 |
| 2018 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2017 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2016 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 10 |
| 2015 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2013 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 2012 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2008 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 9 |
| 2007 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2003 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2001 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 8 |
| 2000 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:00 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 11:30 |
Arminia Bielefeld
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 12:30 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:00 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 12:00 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.