Orlando City SC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 449 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Orlando City SC drew 118 where the draw model expected 111.5 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 112.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 21 Jul 2022 → 17 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 11 Mar 2018 → 14 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 19 Feb 2017 → 07 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 25 Aug 2024 → 27 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 12 Oct 2025 → 05 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 15 May 2025 → 29 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 03 Apr 2022 → 14 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 06 Sep 2026 → 27 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 15 Apr 2026 → 14 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 18 Mar 2023 → 09 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 409 | 107 | 26.2% | 7 | 21 |
| US Open Cup | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 8 |
| 2025 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2023 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 2022 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 17 |
| 2021 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 8 |
| 2020 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 15 |
| 2017 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 11 |
| 2016 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
Orlando City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 23:30 |
Toronto FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 23:30 |
Orlando City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 23:30 |
Orlando City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 00:30 |
Chicago Fire
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 17:00 |
Charlotte
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.6% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 21:00 |
Orlando City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.