Obolon Kyiv
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 120 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), Obolon Kyiv drew 40 where the draw model expected 31.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 29.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 07 Mar 2025 → 18 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 27 Sep 2023 → 02 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 07 Sep 2001 → 27 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 17 Oct 2025 → 22 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 23 Sep 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 03 Mar 2024 → 06 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 13 May 2026 → 02 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 10 Aug 2025 → 30 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 04 Aug 2023 → 23 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 22 Jul 2015 → 28 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 97 | 33 | 34.0% | 0 | 6 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 66 | 13 | 19.7% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 4 |
| 2025 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 5 |
| 2023 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 12:30 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 12:30 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct |
Polissya Zhytomyr
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Nov |
Dynamo Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.3% |
|
| Sat, 28 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Nov |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Dec |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Dec |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs | FC Epitsentr Dunaivtsi | – / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 27 Feb 2027 | ||||||
| 27 Feb |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | – / – / – | 29.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.