What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 07 Mar 2025 → 18 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 27 Sep 2023 → 02 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 07 Sep 2001 → 27 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 17 Oct 2025 → 22 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 23 Sep 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 03 Mar 2024 → 06 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 10 Oct 2026 → 30 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 13 May 2026 → 02 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 10 Aug 2025 → 30 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 04 Aug 2023 → 23 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 101 | 33 | 32.7% | 4 | 6 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 66 | 13 | 19.7% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 5 |
| 2023 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 124 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2026), Obolon Kyiv drew 40 where the draw model expected 32.2 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 30.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.