New York Red Bulls
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 454 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), New York Red Bulls drew 105 where the draw model expected 115.9 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 114.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 10 Aug 2015 → 30 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Oct 2017 → 21 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 22 Sep 2018 → 30 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 14 Jun 2018 → 12 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 24 May 2015 → 19 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 21 Sep 2014 → 23 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 25 Jun 2023 → 04 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 28 Aug 2022 → 26 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 22 May 2022 → 04 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 18 Apr 2021 → 24 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 528 | 129 | 24.4% | 6 | 26 |
| US Open Cup | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 6 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 7 |
| 2023 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2022 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 9 |
| 2021 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2019 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 6 |
| 2018 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 11 |
| 2017 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 9 |
| 2016 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2015 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 17 |
| 2014 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 10 |
| 2013 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2012 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
New York Red Bulls
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 23:30 |
D.C. United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 23:30 |
New York Red Bulls
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 21:30 |
New York Red Bulls
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 23:30 |
New England Revolution
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 21:30 |
Nashville SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 21:00 |
New York Red Bulls
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.