What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 09 Aug 2015 → 29 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Oct 2017 → 20 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 22 Sep 2018 → 30 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 13 Jun 2018 → 11 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 24 May 2015 → 18 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 09 Sep 2026 → 01 Nov 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 20 Sep 2014 → 23 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 24 Jun 2023 → 03 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 27 Aug 2022 → 25 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 22 May 2022 → 03 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 532 | 129 | 24.3% | 10 | 26 |
| US Open Cup | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 10 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 7 |
| 2023 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2022 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 9 |
| 2021 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2019 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 6 |
| 2018 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 11 |
| 2017 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 9 |
| 2016 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2015 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 17 |
| 2014 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 10 |
| 2013 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2012 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 458 matches (Mar 2015 – Nov 2026), New York Red Bulls drew 105 where the draw model expected 117.0 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 115.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.