What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 26 Oct 2021 → 30 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 19 Dec 2001 → 13 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 28 Apr 2024 → 05 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 21 Apr 2017 → 17 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 22 Jan 2010 → 18 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 09 Sep 2017 → 20 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 23 Sep 2014 → 13 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 06 Jun 2020 → 19 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 23 Feb 2007 → 13 May 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 01 May 1999 → 17 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 480 | 131 | 27.3% | 5 | 13 |
| Bundesliga | 340 | 90 | 26.5% | 1 | 14 |
| 3. Liga | 266 | 70 | 26.3% | 2 | 13 |
| Regionalliga Bayern | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 4 | 12 |
| DFB-Pokal | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 1 | 4 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2024 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2023 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 9 |
| 2022 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 2021 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 9 |
| 2020 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 11 |
| 2019 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2018 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2017 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 13 |
| 2016 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2014 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 12 |
| 2013 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2011 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 9 |
| 2010 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 2009 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2008 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2007 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2006 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2005 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2004 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2003 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2002 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2001 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 10 |
| 2000 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 1999 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 11 |
| 1998 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 7 |
| 1997 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 1996 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 1995 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 1994 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 1993 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 1969 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Over 401 matches (Feb 2015 – Aug 2026), TSV 1860 München drew 98 where the draw model expected 108.7 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 108.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.