Moreirense
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 383 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Moreirense drew 97 where the draw model expected 98.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 97.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 02 Sep 2018 → 04 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 02 Aug 2025 → 09 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 13 Dec 2015 → 06 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 10 May 2003 → 17 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 28 Sep 2024 → 21 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 06 Mar 2022 → 14 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 29 Oct 2016 → 20 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 14 Apr 2024 → 25 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 04 Feb 2018 → 09 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 03 Jan 2026 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 513 | 144 | 28.1% | 0 | 17 |
| Taça de Portugal | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 13 |
| 2024 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 11 |
| 2023 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2022 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 4 |
| 2019 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 11 |
| 2017 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2016 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2015 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2014 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2013 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2012 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2005 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 2004 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 2003 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 12 |
| 2002 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 8 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 17:45 |
Moreirense
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:00 |
AVS Futebol SAD
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 15:30 |
GD Estoril Praia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:30 |
Moreirense
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 20:30 |
Sporting CP
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.