☆
· POR · Primeira Liga
Team ☆
all results ›
POR · Club
Moreirense
Moreirense FC
Played
530
Draw %
27.6%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
17
02 Sep 2018 → 04 Feb 2019
Avg top run
11.2
top 10
Draw debt E
0.21
p50
20.0%
p100
22.0%
Draw score
0.110
rank #1,448
Draws
146
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,614
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,700
reached 5 Dec 2024
Rank
#495
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
530
last 9 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 16 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 384 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Moreirense drew 97 where the draw model expected 99.1 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 97.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 17
02 Sep 2018 → 04 Feb 2019
2 13
02 Aug 2025 → 09 Nov 2025
3 13
13 Dec 2015 → 06 Mar 2016
4 12
10 May 2003 → 17 Oct 2003
5 11
28 Sep 2024 → 21 Dec 2024
6 10
06 Mar 2022 → 14 May 2022
7 10
29 Oct 2016 → 20 Jan 2017
8 9
14 Apr 2024 → 25 Aug 2024
9 9
04 Feb 2018 → 09 Apr 2018
10 8
03 Jan 2026 → 21 Feb 2026
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 02 Sep 2018 → 04 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 02 Aug 2025 → 09 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 13 Dec 2015 → 06 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 10 May 2003 → 17 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 28 Sep 2024 → 21 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 06 Mar 2022 → 14 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 29 Oct 2016 → 20 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 14 Apr 2024 → 25 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 04 Feb 2018 → 09 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 03 Jan 2026 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 514 | 144 | 28.0% | 1 | 17 |
| Taça de Portugal | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 8 |
| 2025 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 13 |
| 2024 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 11 |
| 2023 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2022 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 4 |
| 2019 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 11 |
| 2017 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2016 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2015 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2014 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2013 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2012 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2005 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 2004 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 2003 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 12 |
| 2002 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 8 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 15:00 |
AVS Futebol SAD
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 15:30 |
GD Estoril Praia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:30 |
Moreirense
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 20:30 |
Sporting CP
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.