Midtjylland
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 528 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Midtjylland drew 115 where the draw model expected 120.0 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 130.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 23 Apr 2017 → 25 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 26 Sep 2019 → 14 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 04 May 2014 → 19 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 26 Oct 2013 → 21 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 29 Sep 2024 → 23 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 23 Oct 2023 → 07 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 25 Sep 2016 → 11 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 17 Aug 2025 → 04 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 19 May 2021 → 10 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 21 Dec 2020 → 10 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 479 | 106 | 22.1% | 0 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 104 | 20 | 19.2% | 3 | 11 |
| Danish Cup | 58 | 10 | 17.2% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2025 | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 12 |
| 2024 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2023 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2022 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 9 |
| 2021 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2019 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2018 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 20 |
| 2016 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 13 |
| 2015 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 2 | 5.6% | 17 |
| 2013 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2012 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 3 |
| 2011 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2001 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 10:00 |
Midtjylland
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 16:45 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
Midtjylland
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
Midtjylland
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.