What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 11 Apr 2009 → 04 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Feb 2014 → 27 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 08 Dec 2012 → 04 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 12 Dec 2021 → 20 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 18 Aug 2012 → 03 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 15 Dec 2019 → 28 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 17 Aug 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 17 Feb 2024 → 20 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 13 Dec 2020 → 26 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 17 Oct 2015 → 05 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 764 | 187 | 24.5% | 2 | 22 |
| Belgian Cup | 130 | 22 | 16.9% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 3 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2025 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 6 |
| 2024 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2021 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2017 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2015 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 14 |
| 2013 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2012 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2011 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2010 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 25 |
| 2008 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2007 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2002 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 4 |
| 2001 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 3 |
| 2000 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 1999 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 9 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 1996 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 1995 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1990 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1987 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 398 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), KV Mechelen drew 99 where the draw model expected 95.4 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 95.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.