What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 08 Dec 2012 → 06 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 17 Mar 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 23 Oct 2021 → 29 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 15 Dec 2007 → 23 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 21 Apr 2014 → 04 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 13 Dec 1994 → 04 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 04 Apr 1994 → 13 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 13 Sep 2003 → 15 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 21 Apr 2025 → 27 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 21 Dec 2024 → 11 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 1132 | 325 | 28.7% | 0 | 14 |
| FA Cup | 240 | 48 | 20.0% | 3 | 5 |
| National League | 228 | 49 | 21.5% | 28 | 28 |
| League One | 151 | 38 | 25.2% | 0 | 11 |
| League Cup | 135 | 27 | 20.0% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 8 |
| 2025 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 2024 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 11 |
| 2023 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 11 |
| 2020 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 50 | 22 | 44.0% | 7 |
| 2017 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2014 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 15 |
| 2013 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 28 |
| 2012 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 18 |
| 2011 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 6 |
| 2010 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 2009 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2008 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 12 |
| 2007 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 10 |
| 2006 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2005 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 12 |
| 2004 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 2003 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2002 | 50 | 5 | 10.0% | 11 |
| 2001 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2000 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 1999 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 1998 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 11 |
| 1997 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 10 |
| 1996 | 52 | 20 | 38.5% | 7 |
| 1995 | 47 | 18 | 38.3% | 10 |
| 1994 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 14 |
| 1993 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1987 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1980 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1979 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1975 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 5 |
| 1974 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1969 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1961 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 583 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Mansfield Town drew 174 where the draw model expected 161.6 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 157.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.