What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 282 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), Lyngby BK drew 80 where the draw model expected 69.4 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 70.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 21 Apr 2017 → 06 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 03 Dec 2023 → 31 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 14 Jul 2019 → 01 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 19 Aug 2016 → 02 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 18 Apr 2021 → 20 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 15 Dec 2019 → 01 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 29 Oct 2016 → 05 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 16 Aug 2024 → 13 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 30 Apr 2023 → 29 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 14 Oct 2022 → 12 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 247 | 71 | 28.7% | 1 | 11 |
| Danish Cup | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2025 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2024 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2022 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2021 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 8 |
| 2018 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 14 |
| 2016 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 10:00 |
Lyngby BK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.