What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 26 Sep 2019 → 16 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 28 Oct 2015 → 12 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 09 Mar 2014 → 18 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 22 Oct 2017 → 11 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 10 Apr 2019 → 20 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 20 Sep 2018 → 10 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 17 Dec 2023 → 10 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 26 Feb 2023 → 30 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 11 Mar 2018 → 09 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 08 May 2013 → 04 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 522 | 134 | 25.7% | 4 | 15 |
| Swiss Cup | 323 | 58 | 18.0% | 4 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2025 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2023 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2022 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2021 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 13 |
| 2018 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 11 |
| 2017 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2016 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 7 |
| 2015 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 14 |
| 2013 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2012 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1996 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1968 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1947 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1946 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1944 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1943 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1942 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1941 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1933 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1927 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 495 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Luzern drew 119 where the draw model expected 116.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 120.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.