Played 484
Draw % 33.9%
No-draw N 2
Max streak 10 17 Jul 2020 → 24 Oct 2020
Avg top run 7.2 top 10
Draw debt E 0.64
p50 26.0%
p100 36.0%
Draw score 0.221 rank #621 Draws 164
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,500 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,618 reached 16 Nov 2013
Rank #3,800 of 14,597 clubs
Matches rated 484 last 12 Aug 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
W L L W L L L L D L L L D D D L D D L L L D L L W W W L L W

Over 380 matches (Jan 2015 – Aug 2026), CD Lugo drew 133 where the draw model expected 116.7 from those particular fixtures — about 16 more, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 112.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
# Run From → To
1 10 17 Jul 2020 → 24 Oct 2020 ▸ matches
2 8 04 Dec 2022 → 29 Jan 2023 ▸ matches
3 8 10 Sep 2017 → 16 Oct 2017 ▸ matches
4 8 24 Aug 2013 → 12 Oct 2013 ▸ matches
5 8 13 Jan 2013 → 03 Mar 2013 ▸ matches
6 6 28 Mar 2021 → 24 Apr 2021 ▸ matches
7 6 10 Nov 2018 → 09 Dec 2018 ▸ matches
8 6 11 Feb 2018 → 17 Mar 2018 ▸ matches
9 6 10 Dec 2017 → 20 Jan 2018 ▸ matches
10 6 07 May 2016 → 04 Jun 2016 ▸ matches
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%NMax
Segunda División 462 157 34.0% 3 10
Copa del Rey 20 7 35.0% 3 3
Club Friendlies 2 0 0.0% 2 2
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 2 0 0.0% 2
2024 1 0 0.0% 1
2023 23 7 30.4% 4
2022 44 15 34.1% 4
2021 46 22 47.8% 6
2020 41 11 26.8% 10
2019 45 22 48.9% 5
2018 45 14 31.1% 6
2017 45 10 22.2% 8
2016 44 13 29.5% 6
2015 44 19 43.2% 5
2014 43 15 34.9% 6
2013 42 11 26.2% 8
2012 19 5 26.3% 5
Matches all results ›
484 matches · page 13 / 13 ‹ prev next ›