Los Angeles FC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 340 matches (Mar 2018 – Sep 2026), Los Angeles FC drew 83 where the draw model expected 80.1 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 85.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 25 May 2019 → 22 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 22 Aug 2020 → 15 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 28 Apr 2024 → 16 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 01 Sep 2025 → 13 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 22 Feb 2025 → 13 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 29 Sep 2024 → 09 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 07 Aug 2022 → 11 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 12 Mar 2022 → 02 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 11 May 2026 → 26 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 29 Oct 2023 → 02 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 311 | 75 | 24.1% | 2 | 15 |
| US Open Cup | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 0 | 3 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2024 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2023 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2022 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2020 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 12 |
| 2019 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 15 |
| 2018 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 02:30 |
Los Angeles FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 02:30 |
Los Angeles FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 23:30 |
New York City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 01:00 |
Los Angeles FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 01:30 |
Los Angeles FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
Seattle Sounders
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.