Leyton Orient
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 564 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Leyton Orient drew 138 where the draw model expected 156.5 from those particular fixtures — about 19 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 150.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 29 Sep 2012 → 01 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 31 Oct 2020 → 30 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 25 Jan 2025 → 01 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 19 Mar 2022 → 13 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 13 Apr 2024 → 21 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 08 Oct 2016 → 26 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 03 Dec 2005 → 28 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 13 Jan 1996 → 19 Mar 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 25 Mar 1995 → 15 Aug 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 13 Sep 1994 → 19 Nov 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 772 | 215 | 27.9% | 0 | 17 |
| League One | 651 | 156 | 24.0% | 2 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 282 | 72 | 25.5% | 2 | 4 |
| League Cup | 149 | 39 | 26.2% | 1 | 4 |
| National League | 92 | 26 | 28.3% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2025 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 15 |
| 2024 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2023 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 15 |
| 2021 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 2019 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 6 |
| 2018 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2017 | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 11 |
| 2016 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2015 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 10 |
| 2014 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 2013 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 10 |
| 2012 | 50 | 6 | 12.0% | 18 |
| 2011 | 58 | 16 | 27.6% | 6 |
| 2010 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2009 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2008 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2007 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2006 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 9 |
| 2005 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 11 |
| 2004 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 9 |
| 2003 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2002 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2000 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 5 |
| 1999 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 1998 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 4 |
| 1997 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 10 |
| 1996 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 12 |
| 1995 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 1994 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 12 |
| 1993 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 12 |
| 1992 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1985 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1982 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1980 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1976 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1971 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1961 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1960 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1951 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1936 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1930 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Leyton Orient
|
vs |
|
3.41 3.68 1.97 | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Bradford City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Leyton Orient
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 19:00 |
Reading
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Burton Albion
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Leyton Orient
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.