What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 29 Sep 2012 → 01 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 31 Oct 2020 → 30 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 25 Jan 2025 → 01 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 19 Mar 2022 → 13 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 13 Apr 2024 → 21 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 08 Oct 2016 → 26 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 03 Dec 2005 → 28 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 13 Jan 1996 → 19 Mar 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 25 Mar 1995 → 15 Aug 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 13 Sep 1994 → 19 Nov 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 772 | 215 | 27.9% | 0 | 17 |
| League One | 657 | 157 | 23.9% | 4 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 282 | 72 | 25.5% | 2 | 4 |
| League Cup | 149 | 39 | 26.2% | 1 | 4 |
| National League | 92 | 26 | 28.3% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2025 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 15 |
| 2024 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2023 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 15 |
| 2021 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 2019 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 6 |
| 2018 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2017 | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 11 |
| 2016 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2015 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 10 |
| 2014 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 2013 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 10 |
| 2012 | 50 | 6 | 12.0% | 18 |
| 2011 | 58 | 16 | 27.6% | 6 |
| 2010 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2009 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2008 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2007 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2006 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 9 |
| 2005 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 11 |
| 2004 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 9 |
| 2003 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2002 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2000 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 5 |
| 1999 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 1998 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 4 |
| 1997 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 10 |
| 1996 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 12 |
| 1995 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 1994 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 12 |
| 1993 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 12 |
| 1992 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1985 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1982 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1980 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1976 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1971 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1961 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1960 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1951 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1936 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1930 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 570 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Leyton Orient drew 139 where the draw model expected 158.1 from those particular fixtures — about 19 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 151.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.