Levante UD
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 510 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Levante UD drew 153 where the draw model expected 135.1 from those particular fixtures — about 18 more, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 138.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 18 Sep 2011 → 03 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 16 Sep 2007 → 23 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 12 Dec 2015 → 02 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 13 Jan 2015 → 13 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 27 Aug 2012 → 01 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 05 Oct 2019 → 04 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 08 Apr 2018 → 27 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 19 Nov 2016 → 18 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 09 Dec 2012 → 09 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 18 Dec 2010 → 27 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 584 | 198 | 33.9% | 4 | 12 |
| La Liga | 576 | 150 | 26.0% | 2 | 19 |
| Copa del Rey | 63 | 14 | 22.2% | 3 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 2025 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2024 | 43 | 21 | 48.8% | 4 |
| 2023 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 6 |
| 2021 | 50 | 22 | 44.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 10 |
| 2019 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2018 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 12 |
| 2017 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 8 |
| 2016 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2015 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 14 |
| 2014 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 5 |
| 2013 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 56 | 10 | 17.9% | 14 |
| 2011 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 16 |
| 2010 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 10 |
| 2009 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2007 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 16 |
| 2006 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 2005 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2004 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 12 |
| 2003 | 43 | 18 | 41.9% | 6 |
| 2002 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2001 | 44 | 20 | 45.5% | 6 |
| 2000 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 1998 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 1997 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 11 |
| 1996 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 7 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 19:00 |
Levante UD
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 19:00 |
Deportivo La Coruña
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 18:00 |
Levante UD
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 17:30 |
Real Sociedad
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 13:00 |
Levante UD
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.