Lechia Gdańsk
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 401 matches (Feb 2015 – Jul 2026), Lechia Gdańsk drew 101 where the draw model expected 109.2 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 106.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 25 Oct 2015 → 06 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 09 Feb 2025 → 11 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 28 Oct 2020 → 30 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 30 Oct 2019 → 21 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 07 Mar 2015 → 09 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 27 Nov 2021 → 27 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 25 Aug 2019 → 05 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 06 Apr 2019 → 05 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 15 Aug 2025 → 27 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 01 Oct 2022 → 04 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 455 | 118 | 25.9% | 5 | 14 |
| Polish Cup | 91 | 27 | 29.7% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 2025 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 13 |
| 2024 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2023 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2022 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2021 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2018 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2017 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2016 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2013 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 4 |
| 2012 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2011 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 10:00 |
Ruch Chorzów
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.