What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 750 matches (Aug 1996 – Sep 2026), Le Mans drew 237 where the draw model expected 227.6 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 222.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 Jan 2005 → 22 Apr 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 05 Nov 2010 → 21 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 27 Jul 2019 → 02 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 23 Oct 2005 → 21 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 02 May 2011 → 26 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 06 Apr 2002 → 10 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 21 Sep 2004 → 03 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 29 Oct 2008 → 20 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 22 Feb 2013 → 19 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 20 Dec 2011 → 02 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 488 | 161 | 33.0% | 1 | 15 |
| Ligue 1 | 233 | 72 | 30.9% | 1 | 12 |
| Coupe de France | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 13 | 46.4% | 4 |
| 2025 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 13 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2011 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 11 |
| 2010 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 5 |
| 2009 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2008 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2007 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 38 | 18 | 47.4% | 5 |
| 2005 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 15 |
| 2004 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2003 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 2002 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2001 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 2000 | 40 | 19 | 47.5% | 3 |
| 1999 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 1998 | 40 | 17 | 42.5% | 6 |
| 1997 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 1996 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:45 |
Paris Saint-Germain
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.2% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:45 |
Le Mans
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:15 |
AJ Auxerre
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 19:45 |
ES Troyes AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 16:15 |
Le Mans
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.