Le Havre AC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 441 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Le Havre AC drew 137 where the draw model expected 131.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 131.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 29 Nov 2008 → 13 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 04 May 2024 → 12 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 22 Jan 2003 → 24 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 02 Dec 1994 → 06 May 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 14 Feb 2022 → 14 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 16 Feb 2007 → 14 May 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 14 Feb 2020 → 03 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 22 Jan 2013 → 01 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 02 Oct 1999 → 11 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 19 Feb 1994 → 07 May 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 788 | 257 | 32.6% | 1 | 15 |
| Ligue 1 | 437 | 129 | 29.5% | 1 | 20 |
| Coupe de France | 19 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 6 |
| 2025 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2024 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 19 |
| 2023 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 15 |
| 2021 | 40 | 17 | 42.5% | 4 |
| 2020 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 2019 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 5 |
| 2018 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2017 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2013 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 11 |
| 2012 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2011 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2010 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 8 |
| 2009 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 18 |
| 2008 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2007 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2006 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 4 |
| 2005 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2004 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2003 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 16 |
| 2002 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2001 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2000 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 9 |
| 1999 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 1998 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 36 | 16 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 1996 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1995 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 14 |
| 1994 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 11 |
| 1993 | 22 | 12 | 54.6% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 15:15 |
Lille OSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:15 |
Le Havre AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:15 |
Olympique de Marseille
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 18:00 |
Le Havre AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.3% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 16:15 |
Le Havre AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.