Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 142 matches (Aug 2020 – Sep 2026), Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih drew 31 where the draw model expected 37.6 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 35.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 18 Oct 2022 → 12 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 11 Mar 2000 → 02 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 16 Jul 2025 → 21 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 20 Apr 2024 → 18 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 08 May 2023 → 13 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 03 Sep 2023 → 28 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 14 Mar 2026 → 26 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 24 Nov 2024 → 02 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 07 Jul 2026 → 09 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 30 Mar 2025 → 20 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 126 | 30 | 23.8% | 1 | 11 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 74 | 9 | 12.2% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2025 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2024 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2023 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2022 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2004 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1999 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1998 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.