Kolos Kovalivka
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 217 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), Kolos Kovalivka drew 62 where the draw model expected 58.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 54.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 28 Sep 2019 → 20 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 22 Aug 2021 → 21 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 09 Apr 2023 → 04 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 18 Apr 2026 → 22 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 15 Dec 2024 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 10 Dec 2023 → 31 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 05 May 2024 → 25 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 11 Sep 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 22 Feb 2026 → 07 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 28 Sep 2025 → 19 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 202 | 57 | 28.2% | 2 | 27 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 10 |
| 2025 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2023 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 11 |
| 2022 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2021 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 12 |
| 2020 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 17 |
| 2019 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 11 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.