Kocaelispor
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 488 matches (Mar 1977 – Sep 2026), Kocaelispor drew 121 where the draw model expected 119.4 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 118.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 18 Sep 1999 → 29 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 15 Sep 1996 → 22 Dec 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 14 Apr 2002 → 22 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 15 Feb 1998 → 18 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 21 Mar 2009 → 30 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 31 Aug 1997 → 02 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 30 Nov 2008 → 22 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 21 Sep 2001 → 28 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 26 Feb 2000 → 23 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 09 May 2026 → 19 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 380 | 90 | 23.7% | 8 | 15 |
| Turkish Cup | 97 | 28 | 28.9% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 8 |
| 2025 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 11 |
| 2008 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2002 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 12 |
| 2001 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2000 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 1999 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 1998 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 12 |
| 1997 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 11 |
| 1996 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 1995 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 6 |
| 1994 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 7 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 16:00 |
Besiktas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 13:00 |
Kocaelispor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 17:00 |
Alanyaspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 13:00 |
Kocaelispor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 10:30 |
Eyüpspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.