Kenya
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 100 matches (Jun 2015 – Jun 2026), Kenya drew 37 where the draw model expected 25.1 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 23.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 23 Nov 2010 → 03 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 26 Aug 2009 → 15 Jan 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 26 May 1996 → 27 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 18 Apr 1981 → 28 Nov 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 27 Mar 2018 → 11 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 09 Jun 2012 → 04 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 06 Jan 2009 → 20 Jun 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 12 Aug 1989 → 02 Feb 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 30 Sep 1971 → 23 Feb 1972 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 16 Nov 1991 → 16 Jan 1992 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 313 | 81 | 25.9% | 0 | 8 |
| CECAFA Cup | 150 | 33 | 22.0% | 0 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 109 | 31 | 28.4% | 0 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 84 | 22 | 26.2% | 4 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 3 | 3 |
| All-African Games | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Nile Basin Tournament | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Prime Minister's Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| COSAFA Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Simba Tournament | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Mapinduzi Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| King's Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Zambian Independence Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Mauritius Four Nations Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2025 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 3 |
| 2023 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2021 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2019 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2017 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2014 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2013 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2012 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 2011 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 11 |
| 2010 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2008 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2007 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2006 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2004 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2003 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2001 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 |
| 2000 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 1999 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 1998 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1996 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 1995 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1992 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1991 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1990 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1988 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 2 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 1983 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 1980 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1979 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1978 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 1977 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1976 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1975 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1971 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1970 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1969 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1968 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1967 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1966 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1965 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1964 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1963 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1962 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1961 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 1960 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1944 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1943 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1942 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |