Rwanda
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Over 283 matches (Jul 1976 β Oct 2026), Rwanda drew 75 where the draw model expected 71.7 from those particular fixtures β about 3 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 67.4 instead β "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From β To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 07 Jun 2015 β 27 Nov 2015 | βΈ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 31 May 2008 β 09 Jan 2009 | βΈ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 25 Mar 2007 β 13 Dec 2007 | βΈ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 18 Jun 2005 β 10 Dec 2005 | βΈ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 23 Apr 2000 β 22 Nov 2000 | βΈ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 13 Oct 2002 β 15 Mar 2003 | βΈ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 05 Jun 2025 β 14 Oct 2025 | βΈ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 07 Oct 2021 β 06 Jan 2022 | βΈ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 15 Nov 2011 β 08 Dec 2011 | βΈ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 31 May 2009 β 11 Oct 2009 | βΈ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CECAFA Cup | 83 | 18 | 21.7% | 1 | 6 |
| Friendly | 76 | 27 | 35.5% | 0 | 5 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 61 | 16 | 26.2% | 4 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 4 | 4 |
| African Cup of Nations | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Afro-Asian Games | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2024 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 2022 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2021 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2018 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2016 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2014 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2013 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2011 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2010 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2009 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2008 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2007 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2006 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2004 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2001 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 1999 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 1 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
β
Β· ITL Β· Friendly
β
Β· β
β
Β· β
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA Series
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA Series
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· Friendly
β
Β· ITL Β· Friendly
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· Friendly
β
Β· ITL Β· Friendly
β
Β· ITL Β· Friendly
β
Β· ITL Β· Friendly
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· Friendly
β
Β· ITL Β· Friendly
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β
Β· ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
|
|||||
| β 05 Oct 2026 | Rwanda | 0β0 | Kenya | D | ITL Β· Friendly |
| β 29 Sep 2026 | Cape Verde | 1β2 | Rwanda | A | β |
| β 25 Sep 2026 | Rwanda | 3β1 | Liberia | H | β |
| β 30 Mar 2026 | Rwanda | 2β0 | Estonia | H | ITL Β· FIFA Series |
| β 27 Mar 2026 | Rwanda | 4β0 | Grenada | H | ITL Β· FIFA Series |
| β 14 Oct 2025 | South Africa | 3β0 | Rwanda | H |
|
| β 10 Oct 2025 | Rwanda | 0β1 | Benin | A |
|
| β 09 Sep 2025 | Zimbabwe | 0β1 | Rwanda | A |
|
| β 06 Sep 2025 | Nigeria | 1β0 | Rwanda | H |
|
| β 09 Jun 2025 | Algeria | 2β0 | Rwanda | H | ITL Β· Friendly |
| β 05 Jun 2025 | Algeria | 2β0 | Rwanda | H | ITL Β· Friendly |
| β 25 Mar 2025 | Rwanda | 1β1 | Lesotho | D |
|
| β 21 Mar 2025 | Rwanda | 0β2 | Nigeria | A |
|
| β 18 Nov 2024 | Nigeria | 1β2 | Rwanda | A | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 14 Nov 2024 | Rwanda | 0β1 | Libya | A | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 15 Oct 2024 | Rwanda | 2β1 | Benin | H | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 11 Oct 2024 | Benin | 3β0 | Rwanda | H | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 10 Sep 2024 | Rwanda | 0β0 | Nigeria | D | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 04 Sep 2024 | Libya | 1β1 | Rwanda | D | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 11 Jun 2024 | Lesotho | 0β1 | Rwanda | A |
|
| β 06 Jun 2024 | Benin | 1β0 | Rwanda | H |
|
| β 21 Nov 2023 | Rwanda | 2β0 | South Africa | H |
|
| β 15 Nov 2023 | Rwanda | 0β0 | Zimbabwe | D |
|
| β 09 Sep 2023 | Rwanda | 1β1 | Senegal | D | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 18 Jun 2023 | Rwanda | 0β2 | Mozambique | A | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 29 Mar 2023 | Rwanda | 1β1 | Benin | D | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 22 Mar 2023 | Benin | 1β1 | Rwanda | D | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 19 Mar 2023 | Ethiopia | 1β0 | Rwanda | H | ITL Β· Friendly |
| β 19 Nov 2022 | Rwanda | 1β0 | Sudan | H | ITL Β· Friendly |
| β 17 Nov 2022 | Rwanda | 0β0 | Sudan | D | ITL Β· Friendly |
| β 23 Sep 2022 | Rwanda | 0β0 | Equatorial Guinea | D | ITL Β· Friendly |
| β 07 Jun 2022 | Senegal | 1β0 | Rwanda | H | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 02 Jun 2022 | Mozambique | 1β1 | Rwanda | D | ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification |
| β 06 Jan 2022 | Rwanda | 0β2 | Guinea | A | ITL Β· Friendly |
| β 03 Jan 2022 | Rwanda | 3β0 | Guinea | H | ITL Β· Friendly |
| β 15 Nov 2021 | Kenya | 2β1 | Rwanda | H |
|
| β 11 Nov 2021 | Rwanda | 0β3 | Mali | A |
|
| β 10 Oct 2021 | Uganda | 1β0 | Rwanda | H |
|
| β 07 Oct 2021 | Rwanda | 0β1 | Uganda | A |
|
| β 05 Sep 2021 | Rwanda | 1β1 | Kenya | D |
|