RWA Β· National Team

Rwanda

Rwanda national football team
Played 283
Draw % 26.5%
No-draw N 0
Max streak 10 07 Jun 2015 β†’ 27 Nov 2015
Avg top run 7.8 top 10
Draw debt E 0.00
p50 32.0%
p100 27.0%
Draw score 0.085 rank #1,663 Draws 75
Team strength Β· Elo all ratings β€Ί
Rating 1,541 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,643 reached 14 Jun 2008
Rank #159 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 281 last 5 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form Β· draws highlighted
D W L D D L D D W L W D D L W L W L D L L L W L L W W W W D

Over 283 matches (Jul 1976 – Oct 2026), Rwanda drew 75 where the draw model expected 71.7 from those particular fixtures β€” about 3 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 67.4 instead β€” "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page β€Ί
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
CECAFA Cup 83 18 21.7%
Friendly 76 27 35.5%
African Cup of Nations qualification 61 16 26.2%
FIFA World Cup qualification 54 12 22.2%
African Cup of Nations 3 1 33.3%
Afro-Asian Games 2 1 50.0%
FIFA Series 2 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 5 1 20.0% 2
2025 8 1 12.5% 6
2024 8 2 25.0% 4
2023 7 4 57.1% 1
2022 7 3 42.9% 2
2021 10 2 20.0% 4
2020 2 2 100.0% 0
2019 7 1 14.3% 3
2018 4 2 50.0% 2
2017 6 1 16.7% 4
2016 7 2 28.6% 5
2015 15 3 20.0% 10
2014 7 2 28.6% 5
2013 12 3 25.0% 4
2012 14 5 35.7% 5
2011 12 2 16.7% 6
2010 7 2 28.6% 3
2009 16 2 12.5% 6
2008 6 1 16.7% 5
2007 12 2 16.7% 9
2006 10 3 30.0% 5
2005 12 2 16.7% 9
2004 16 4 25.0% 6
2003 15 6 40.0% 5
2002 8 1 12.5% 7
2001 5 1 20.0% 2
2000 13 3 23.1% 9
1999 8 5 62.5% 1
1998 4 2 50.0% 1
1996 7 3 42.9% 2
1995 3 1 33.3% 2
1986 2 0 0.0% 2
1983 2 0 0.0% 2
1982 2 0 0.0% 2
1981 2 0 0.0% 2
1979 1 1 100.0% 0
1976 1 0 0.0% 1
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
β˜† 05 Oct 2026 Rwanda 0–0 Kenya D ITL Β· Friendly
β˜† 29 Sep 2026 Cape Verde 1–2 Rwanda A β€”
β˜† 25 Sep 2026 Rwanda 3–1 Liberia H β€”
β˜† 30 Mar 2026 Rwanda 2–0 Estonia H ITL Β· FIFA Series
β˜† 27 Mar 2026 Rwanda 4–0 Grenada H ITL Β· FIFA Series
β˜† 14 Oct 2025 South Africa 3–0 Rwanda H ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 10 Oct 2025 Rwanda 0–1 Benin A ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 09 Sep 2025 Zimbabwe 0–1 Rwanda A ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 06 Sep 2025 Nigeria 1–0 Rwanda H ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 09 Jun 2025 Algeria 2–0 Rwanda H ITL Β· Friendly
β˜† 05 Jun 2025 Algeria 2–0 Rwanda H ITL Β· Friendly
β˜† 25 Mar 2025 Rwanda 1–1 Lesotho D ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 21 Mar 2025 Rwanda 0–2 Nigeria A ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 18 Nov 2024 Nigeria 1–2 Rwanda A ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 14 Nov 2024 Rwanda 0–1 Libya A ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 15 Oct 2024 Rwanda 2–1 Benin H ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 11 Oct 2024 Benin 3–0 Rwanda H ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 10 Sep 2024 Rwanda 0–0 Nigeria D ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 04 Sep 2024 Libya 1–1 Rwanda D ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 11 Jun 2024 Lesotho 0–1 Rwanda A ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 06 Jun 2024 Benin 1–0 Rwanda H ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 21 Nov 2023 Rwanda 2–0 South Africa H ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 15 Nov 2023 Rwanda 0–0 Zimbabwe D ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 09 Sep 2023 Rwanda 1–1 Senegal D ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 18 Jun 2023 Rwanda 0–2 Mozambique A ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 29 Mar 2023 Rwanda 1–1 Benin D ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 22 Mar 2023 Benin 1–1 Rwanda D ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 19 Mar 2023 Ethiopia 1–0 Rwanda H ITL Β· Friendly
β˜† 19 Nov 2022 Rwanda 1–0 Sudan H ITL Β· Friendly
β˜† 17 Nov 2022 Rwanda 0–0 Sudan D ITL Β· Friendly
β˜† 23 Sep 2022 Rwanda 0–0 Equatorial Guinea D ITL Β· Friendly
β˜† 07 Jun 2022 Senegal 1–0 Rwanda H ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 02 Jun 2022 Mozambique 1–1 Rwanda D ITL Β· African Cup of Nations qualification
β˜† 06 Jan 2022 Rwanda 0–2 Guinea A ITL Β· Friendly
β˜† 03 Jan 2022 Rwanda 3–0 Guinea H ITL Β· Friendly
β˜† 15 Nov 2021 Kenya 2–1 Rwanda H ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 11 Nov 2021 Rwanda 0–3 Mali A ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 10 Oct 2021 Uganda 1–0 Rwanda H ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 07 Oct 2021 Rwanda 0–1 Uganda A ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
β˜† 05 Sep 2021 Rwanda 1–1 Kenya D ITL Β· FIFA World Cup qualification
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