▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
ETH · National Team

Ethiopia

Ethiopia national football team
Played 413
Draw % 22.5%
No-draw N 2
Max streak 11 27 Mar 1983 → 28 Aug 1983
Avg top run 8.8 top 10
Draw debt E 0.56
p50 26.0%
p100 29.0%
Draw score 0.185 rank #844 Draws 93
Trophies 1 competition
ITL · African Cup of Nations
🏆 1 × Champion (1962)
🥈 1 × Runner-up (1957)
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,465 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,661 reached 4 Oct 2006
Rank #225 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 409 last 9 Jun 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
W L L D W L D L L W D D D L L L L W L W L L W L W W W D L L
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 413 matches (Dec 1947 – Sep 2026), Ethiopia drew 93 where the draw model expected 100.2 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 100.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 11 27 Mar 1983 → 28 Aug 1983 2 10 18 Aug 2010 → 29 May 2011 3 10 17 Jul 2006 → 05 Dec 2006 4 9 25 Jan 2013 → 16 Nov 2013 5 9 15 Nov 1992 → 11 Apr 1993 6 9 02 Aug 1967 → 21 Jan 1968 7 8 04 Dec 2002 → 12 Oct 2003 8 8 11 May 1969 → 22 Mar 1970 9 7 09 Sep 2024 → 24 Mar 2025 10 7 30 Sep 2015 → 25 Nov 2015
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 129 31 24.0%
African Cup of Nations qualification 111 19 17.1%
CECAFA Cup 78 22 28.2%
FIFA World Cup qualification 59 17 28.8%
African Cup of Nations 30 4 13.3%
Jordan International Tournament 2 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 6 1 16.7% 3
2025 6 0 0.0% 4
2024 10 3 30.0% 5
2023 8 2 25.0% 3
2022 9 4 44.4% 2
2021 12 3 25.0% 5
2020 3 1 33.3% 2
2019 5 2 40.0% 3
2018 4 2 50.0% 2
2017 6 3 50.0% 2
2016 4 1 25.0% 2
2015 15 5 33.3% 7
2014 8 1 12.5% 6
2013 16 3 18.8% 9
2012 11 3 27.3% 7
2011 12 5 41.7% 2
2010 8 0 0.0% 8
2009 3 0 0.0% 3
2007 6 1 16.7% 5
2006 10 0 0.0% 10
2005 8 1 12.5% 5
2004 6 2 33.3% 2
2003 6 1 16.7% 5
2002 11 3 27.3% 5
2001 5 1 20.0% 2
2000 11 2 18.2% 6
1999 3 2 66.7% 1
1997 5 1 20.0% 4
1996 4 2 50.0% 1
1995 11 3 27.3% 3
1994 3 1 33.3% 2
1993 8 2 25.0% 4
1992 12 1 8.3% 6
1990 2 0 0.0% 2
1989 6 2 33.3% 2
1988 3 1 33.3% 2
1987 5 3 60.0% 2
1986 4 1 25.0% 2
1984 5 1 20.0% 4
1983 20 4 20.0% 11
1982 7 2 28.6% 4
1981 8 5 62.5% 3
1980 3 1 33.3% 1
1979 2 1 50.0% 1
1977 5 2 40.0% 2
1976 7 1 14.3% 4
1975 1 0 0.0% 1
1973 5 1 20.0% 3
1972 4 2 50.0% 1
1971 1 0 0.0% 1
1970 6 0 0.0% 4
1969 10 1 10.0% 5
1968 7 0 0.0% 5
1967 8 1 12.5% 4
1966 2 1 50.0% 1
1965 6 0 0.0% 4
1964 2 0 0.0% 2
1963 9 0 0.0% 5
1962 7 1 14.3% 3
1961 3 0 0.0% 2
1959 2 0 0.0% 2
1957 1 0 0.0% 1
1956 1 0 0.0% 1
1954 3 0 0.0% 3
1949 1 0 0.0% 1
1948 1 0 0.0% 1
1947 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 29 Sep 2026 Ethiopia 0–1 Senegal A —
☆ 25 Sep 2026 Sudan 1–0 Ethiopia H —
☆ 09 Jun 2026 Ethiopia 1–1 Malawi D ITL · Friendly
☆ 06 Jun 2026 Ethiopia 1–0 Malawi H ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 Mar 2026 Ethiopia 1–0 São Tomé and Príncipe H —
☆ 27 Mar 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe 0–3 Ethiopia A —
☆ 12 Oct 2025 Burkina Faso 3–1 Ethiopia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 08 Oct 2025 Ethiopia 1–0 Guinea-Bissau H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2025 Sierra Leone 2–0 Ethiopia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 05 Sep 2025 Egypt 2–0 Ethiopia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 24 Mar 2025 Ethiopia 6–1 Djibouti H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 21 Mar 2025 Ethiopia 0–2 Egypt A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 19 Nov 2024 DR Congo 1–2 Ethiopia A ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 16 Nov 2024 Ethiopia 0–2 Tanzania A ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 15 Oct 2024 Ethiopia 0–3 Guinea A ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 12 Oct 2024 Guinea 4–1 Ethiopia H ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2024 Ethiopia 0–2 DR Congo A ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 04 Sep 2024 Tanzania 0–0 Ethiopia D ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 09 Jun 2024 Djibouti 1–1 Ethiopia D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 06 Jun 2024 Guinea-Bissau 0–0 Ethiopia D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 24 Mar 2024 Ethiopia 2–1 Lesotho H ITL · Friendly
☆ 21 Mar 2024 Ethiopia 1–2 Lesotho A ITL · Friendly
☆ 21 Nov 2023 Ethiopia 0–3 Burkina Faso A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 15 Nov 2023 Ethiopia 0–0 Sierra Leone D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 08 Sep 2023 Egypt 1–0 Ethiopia H ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 02 Aug 2023 Ethiopia 2–0 Guyana H ITL · Friendly
☆ 20 Jun 2023 Ethiopia 0–0 Malawi D ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 27 Mar 2023 Ethiopia 2–3 Guinea A ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 24 Mar 2023 Guinea 2–0 Ethiopia H ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 19 Mar 2023 Ethiopia 1–0 Rwanda H ITL · Friendly
☆ 26 Sep 2022 Ethiopia 2–2 Sudan D ITL · Friendly
☆ 09 Jun 2022 Ethiopia 2–0 Egypt H ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 05 Jun 2022 Malawi 2–1 Ethiopia H ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆ 30 May 2022 Ethiopia 1–1 Lesotho D ITL · Friendly
☆ 28 May 2022 Ethiopia 1–1 Lesotho D ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2022 Comoros 2–1 Ethiopia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 17 Jan 2022 Burkina Faso 1–1 Ethiopia D ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆ 13 Jan 2022 Cameroon 4–1 Ethiopia H ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆ 09 Jan 2022 Ethiopia 0–1 Cape Verde A ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆ 30 Dec 2021 Sudan 2–3 Ethiopia A ITL · Friendly
413 matches · page 1 / 11 ‹ prev next ›

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