Kasımpaşa SK
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 471 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Kasımpaşa SK drew 112 where the draw model expected 113.6 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 28 Feb 2022 → 01 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 16 Mar 2018 → 20 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 10 May 2013 → 09 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 26 Nov 2016 → 30 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 24 Sep 2023 → 09 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 08 Feb 2016 → 24 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 05 Jan 2024 → 09 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 22 Apr 2021 → 26 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 27 Apr 2017 → 12 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 28 Aug 2010 → 31 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 600 | 151 | 25.2% | 0 | 20 |
| Turkish Cup | 84 | 16 | 19.1% | 1 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2025 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2024 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2022 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 21 |
| 2021 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 18 |
| 2017 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2016 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| 2015 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2014 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2013 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2012 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 8 |
| 2011 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 5 |
| 2010 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 2009 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2008 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2007 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 09:00 |
Kasımpaşa SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 17:00 |
Galatasaray SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 10:30 |
Kasımpaşa SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 10:30 |
Eyüpspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 16:00 |
Kasımpaşa SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 17:00 |
Gaziantep FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.