Karpaty Lviv
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 233 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), Karpaty Lviv drew 71 where the draw model expected 62.0 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 58.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 21 Oct 2024 → 28 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 29 Nov 1992 → 01 Sep 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 23 Apr 2017 → 31 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 13 Aug 2005 → 11 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 17 May 2026 → 22 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 21 Oct 2018 → 24 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 02 May 2025 → 03 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 31 Mar 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 22 Oct 2016 → 19 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 23 Apr 2016 → 31 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 214 | 66 | 30.8% | 0 | 10 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 103 | 15 | 14.6% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 6 |
| 2025 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 5 |
| 2024 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 9 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2020 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2019 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 4 |
| 2018 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2017 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 7 |
| 2016 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2011 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2010 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 9 |
| 1992 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 15:00 |
KV Mechelen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 12:30 |
Dynamo Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:00 |
Karpaty Lviv
|
vs | FC Epitsentr Dunaivtsi | – / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct |
Chornomorets Odesa
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct |
Karpaty Lviv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov |
Kharkiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Nov |
Karpaty Lviv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.0% |
|
| Sat, 28 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Nov |
Karpaty Lviv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Dec |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Dec |
Karpaty Lviv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.