What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 17 Jan 2004 → 02 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 09 Feb 2003 → 24 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 11 Apr 2001 → 30 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 28 Jan 2001 → 04 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 29 Aug 1999 → 05 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 10 May 1995 → 22 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 22 May 2004 → 21 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 12 Nov 2000 → 17 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 13 Aug 2000 → 24 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 20 Mar 2005 → 11 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 599 | 150 | 25.0% | 0 | 14 |
| Greek Football Cup | 288 | 75 | 26.0% | 1 | 22 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 2025 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2016 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2015 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 2013 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 16 | 8 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 8 |
| 2009 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2008 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 4 |
| 2007 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 7 |
| 2006 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2005 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 15 |
| 2003 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 14 |
| 2002 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 14 |
| 2000 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 11 |
| 1999 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 1998 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1997 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 8 |
| 1996 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 1995 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 12 |
| 1994 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1990 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1989 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1983 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1966 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1950 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1949 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1948 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1947 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 103 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Iraklis Thessaloniki drew 37 where the draw model expected 27.0 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 2.3 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 24.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.