Inter Milan
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 632 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Inter Milan drew 143 where the draw model expected 142.3 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 161.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 18 Oct 2025 → 14 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 06 Jan 2024 → 13 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 25 Apr 2012 → 30 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 14 Nov 2010 → 23 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 15 Feb 1998 → 26 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 14 Jan 2026 → 28 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 23 Apr 2023 → 10 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 06 Aug 2022 → 08 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 03 Mar 2013 → 08 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 27 Nov 2011 → 29 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 1215 | 290 | 23.9% | 0 | 25 |
| UEFA Champions League | 239 | 60 | 25.1% | 1 | 12 |
| UEFA Europa League | 191 | 44 | 23.0% | 6 | 12 |
| Coppa Italia | 78 | 20 | 25.6% | 2 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 2 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 1 | 4 |
| Supercoppa Italiana | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 13 |
| 2025 | 67 | 12 | 17.9% | 14 |
| 2024 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 14 |
| 2023 | 64 | 15 | 23.4% | 13 |
| 2022 | 57 | 13 | 22.8% | 13 |
| 2021 | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2020 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 12 |
| 2019 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 12 |
| 2017 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2016 | 50 | 7 | 14.0% | 12 |
| 2015 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2014 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2013 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2012 | 57 | 10 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2011 | 55 | 7 | 12.7% | 11 |
| 2010 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 11 |
| 2009 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 6 |
| 2008 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2007 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 10 |
| 2006 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 2005 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 12 |
| 2004 | 44 | 19 | 43.2% | 5 |
| 2003 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2002 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2001 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 6 |
| 2000 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 1999 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 6 |
| 1998 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 14 |
| 1997 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 1996 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 12 |
| 1995 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 1994 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 1993 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1986 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 1985 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1983 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1980 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 1967 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1965 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1964 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 09:00 |
Inter Milan
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.7% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 16:00 |
Inter Milan
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.2% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 19:00 |
Inter Milan
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 16:00 |
Bologna
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 19:00 |
Inter Milan
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 11:30 |
Inter Milan
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:30 |
Venezia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 19:45 |
AC Milan
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 20:00 |
Feyenoord
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 17:00 |
Inter Milan
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.