What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 207 matches (Sep 1967 – Sep 2025), Hajduk Split drew 40 where the draw model expected 47.0 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 45.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Europa League | 130 | 26 | 20.0% | 2 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 29 | 3 | 10.3% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2015 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1996 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1985 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1976 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1971 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 16:45 |
Hajduk Split
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
Thun
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.3% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
Lincoln Red Imps
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.