What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 508 matches (Jul 1995 – May 2008), Gueugnon drew 168 where the draw model expected 159.8 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 155.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 03 Sep 1997 → 24 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 15 Mar 1997 → 24 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 04 May 2007 → 31 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 01 Apr 2005 → 27 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 26 Apr 2002 → 04 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 07 Nov 2006 → 06 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 18 Aug 2006 → 13 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 25 Jan 2005 → 11 Mar 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 04 Dec 2002 → 22 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 24 Feb 2002 → 06 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 464 | 153 | 33.0% | 0 | 22 |
| Ligue 1 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 2 | 3 |
| Coupe de France | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 10 |
| 2006 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2005 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2004 | 38 | 17 | 44.7% | 5 |
| 2003 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2002 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 2001 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 6 |
| 2000 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 1999 | 37 | 17 | 46.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 19 |
| 1996 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 1995 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 3 |
