What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 115 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Grorud IL drew 28 where the draw model expected 22.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 23.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 21 Sep 2020 → 07 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 02 Jul 2021 → 18 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 23 Jun 2022 → 14 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 25 Sep 2021 → 29 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 03 Jul 2020 → 27 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 10 Oct 2022 → 29 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 29 Aug 2022 → 18 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 06 Nov 2021 → 27 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 03 Aug 2020 → 14 Aug 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 24 May 2023 → 01 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 90 | 19 | 21.1% | 4 | 18 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 11 |
| 2021 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 13 |
| 2020 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 14 |
| 2019 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:00 |
Grorud IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 6.6% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup Round of 16 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.