Genoa CFC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 482 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Genoa CFC drew 140 where the draw model expected 125.2 from those particular fixtures — about 15 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 130.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 26 Oct 2011 → 19 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 14 Feb 2016 → 18 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 22 Mar 2008 → 19 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 11 Apr 2015 → 27 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 14 Apr 2018 → 07 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 13 Mar 2007 → 13 May 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 18 Mar 2022 → 14 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 24 Apr 2021 → 18 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 25 Sep 2010 → 24 Nov 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 19 Aug 2006 → 21 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 757 | 222 | 29.3% | 1 | 17 |
| Serie B | 396 | 135 | 34.1% | 3 | 12 |
| Coppa Italia | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 2025 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 6 |
| 2024 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2022 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 11 |
| 2021 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 11 |
| 2020 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2019 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2018 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2017 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 18 |
| 2015 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 16 |
| 2014 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2013 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 10 |
| 2011 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2009 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 8 |
| 2008 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 18 |
| 2007 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 12 |
| 2006 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 11 |
| 2005 | 24 | 13 | 54.2% | 3 |
| 2004 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 2003 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2002 | 36 | 16 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2001 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 6 |
| 2000 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 1999 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 10 |
| 1998 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 10 |
| 1997 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 11 |
| 1995 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1994 | 32 | 15 | 46.9% | 8 |
| 1993 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 1991 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 13:00 |
Genoa CFC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 18:45 |
AS Roma
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 14:00 |
Genoa CFC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Genoa CFC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 17:00 |
US Lecce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 14:00 |
Genoa CFC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.