What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 29 Dec 2018 → 27 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 21 Sep 2013 → 01 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 30 Apr 2000 → 18 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 05 Apr 2008 → 04 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 22 Sep 2004 → 04 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 08 Mar 2025 → 26 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 28 Feb 2023 → 13 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 25 Apr 2009 → 20 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 31 Dec 2005 → 19 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 07 Jan 2026 → 08 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 731 | 188 | 25.7% | 0 | 20 |
| Championship | 368 | 100 | 27.2% | 3 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 311 | 86 | 27.7% | 3 | 5 |
| League Cup | 205 | 45 | 22.0% | 3 | 7 |
| League One | 138 | 28 | 20.3% | 1 | 14 |
| League Two | 134 | 43 | 32.1% | 2 | 15 |
| UEFA Europa League | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 12 |
| 2025 | 46 | 5 | 10.9% | 13 |
| 2024 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 6 |
| 2023 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2022 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 26 |
| 2018 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2017 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 8 |
| 2016 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2015 | 55 | 19 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 2014 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2013 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 17 |
| 2012 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 12 |
| 2011 | 56 | 19 | 33.9% | 5 |
| 2010 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2009 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2008 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 14 |
| 2007 | 43 | 18 | 41.9% | 8 |
| 2006 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2005 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 6 |
| 2004 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 14 |
| 2003 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 2001 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 2000 | 55 | 9 | 16.4% | 17 |
| 1999 | 59 | 18 | 30.5% | 10 |
| 1998 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 11 |
| 1997 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 12 |
| 1996 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 10 |
| 1995 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 8 |
| 1994 | 53 | 19 | 35.9% | 12 |
| 1993 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 9 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1990 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1986 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1985 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1982 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 15 | 8 | 53.3% | 3 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1973 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1962 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1921 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1909 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1908 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1907 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 577 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Fulham drew 140 where the draw model expected 146.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 149.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.