What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 21 Feb 2026 → 28 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 02 May 2010 → 05 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 25 Feb 1998 → 09 Aug 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 26 Aug 2022 → 03 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 06 Feb 2019 → 27 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 19 Aug 2017 → 24 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 07 Oct 2013 → 22 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 30 Nov 2012 → 23 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 15 Sep 1997 → 30 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 09 Nov 2025 → 01 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 578 | 158 | 27.3% | 12 | 18 |
| Bundesliga | 170 | 48 | 28.2% | 1 | 11 |
| 3. Liga | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 0 | 7 |
| DFB-Pokal | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 18 |
| 2025 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2023 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2021 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 6 |
| 2020 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 2019 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 2018 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 9 |
| 2017 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 10 |
| 2016 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2015 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2014 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2013 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 10 |
| 2012 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2011 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2010 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 18 |
| 2009 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1999 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 1998 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 18 |
| 1997 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 1996 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 1995 | 34 | 16 | 47.1% | 6 |
| 1994 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1973 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
Over 439 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Fortuna Düsseldorf drew 108 where the draw model expected 113.3 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 116.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.