What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 316 matches (Apr 2015 – Aug 2026), Fortaleza EC drew 80 where the draw model expected 90.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 85.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 Jun 2023 → 21 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 05 Sep 2021 → 06 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 10 Aug 2025 → 25 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 17 Jan 2021 → 30 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 13 Nov 2021 → 01 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 30 Jun 2021 → 08 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 20 Nov 2025 → 22 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 22 Sep 2019 → 19 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 28 Jul 2024 → 11 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 27 Jun 2024 → 21 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 266 | 66 | 24.8% | 5 | 15 |
| Copa do Brasil | 56 | 18 | 32.1% | 2 | 7 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2023 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 15 |
| 2022 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 59 | 11 | 18.6% | 15 |
| 2020 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% | 4 |
| 2019 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
