What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 19 Sep 2020 → 17 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 12 Mar 2021 → 01 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 12 Aug 2019 → 26 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 22 Aug 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 25 Apr 2026 → 31 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 14 Apr 2024 → 25 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 29 Apr 2018 → 24 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 17 Apr 2016 → 30 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 08 Dec 2014 → 20 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 14 Aug 2014 → 28 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 426 | 115 | 27.0% | 6 | 12 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2025 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2024 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 11 |
| 2020 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 12 |
| 2019 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 10 |
| 2018 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2017 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 2016 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2015 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 10 |
| 2014 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 5 |
| 2012 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 4 |
Over 367 matches (Mar 2015 – Jul 2026), FC Rostov drew 99 where the draw model expected 98.3 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 93.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.