Fenerbahce
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 617 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Fenerbahce drew 147 where the draw model expected 129.9 from those particular fixtures — about 17 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 148.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 15 Sep 2001 → 10 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 27 | 14 Aug 2004 → 30 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 20 | 06 Nov 2010 → 18 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 17 Mar 2000 → 15 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 30 Oct 2022 → 29 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 13 Aug 2023 → 09 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 03 May 1989 → 23 Dec 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 05 Mar 2006 → 29 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 25 Sep 1998 → 14 Feb 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 21 Nov 2020 → 18 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 1110 | 233 | 21.0% | 1 | 22 |
| Turkish Cup | 267 | 60 | 22.5% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 152 | 40 | 26.3% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 92 | 16 | 17.4% | 0 | 9 |
| Club Friendlies | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 0 | 7 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 60 | 15 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 12 |
| 2023 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 15 |
| 2022 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 2021 | 60 | 17 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2017 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 8 |
| 2016 | 59 | 14 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2015 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2013 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 13 |
| 2011 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2008 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2007 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2006 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 14 |
| 2005 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 47 | 3 | 6.4% | 25 |
| 2003 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2002 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 21 |
| 2000 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 18 |
| 1999 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 1998 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 1997 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 1996 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 1995 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 8 |
| 1994 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 11 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1989 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1983 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1973 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 16:00 |
Çaykur Rizespor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 19:00 |
Aston Villa
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 16:00 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 16:45 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 9.8% |
|
| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 26 Oct 18:30 |
Galatasaray SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 16:00 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 17:45 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 13:00 |
Çorum
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.