What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 15 Sep 2001 → 10 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 27 | 14 Aug 2004 → 30 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 20 | 06 Nov 2010 → 18 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 17 Mar 2000 → 15 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 30 Oct 2022 → 29 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 13 Aug 2023 → 09 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 03 May 1989 → 23 Dec 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 05 Mar 2006 → 29 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 25 Sep 1998 → 14 Feb 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 21 Nov 2020 → 18 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 1114 | 233 | 20.9% | 5 | 22 |
| Turkish Cup | 267 | 60 | 22.5% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 152 | 40 | 26.3% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 94 | 17 | 18.1% | 0 | 9 |
| Club Friendlies | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 0 | 7 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2025 | 60 | 15 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 12 |
| 2023 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 15 |
| 2022 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 2021 | 60 | 17 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2017 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 8 |
| 2016 | 59 | 14 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2015 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2013 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 13 |
| 2011 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2008 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2007 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2006 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 14 |
| 2005 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 47 | 3 | 6.4% | 25 |
| 2003 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2002 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 21 |
| 2000 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 18 |
| 1999 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 1998 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 1997 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 1996 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 1995 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 8 |
| 1994 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 11 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1989 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1983 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1973 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
Over 623 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Fenerbahce drew 148 where the draw model expected 130.9 from those particular fixtures — about 17 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 150.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.