What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 20 Apr 2019 → 14 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 04 Apr 2021 → 16 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 24 Oct 2020 → 04 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 27 Sep 2019 → 10 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 16 Apr 2023 → 28 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 26 Jan 2021 → 27 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 26 Jan 2019 → 03 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 20 Aug 2022 → 18 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 22 Dec 2020 → 20 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 07 Aug 2020 → 19 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 128 | 32 | 25.0% | 6 | 10 |
| KNVB Cup | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 6 |
| 2022 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2021 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 2019 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2018 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 156 matches (Sep 2015 – Oct 2026), FC Emmen drew 34 where the draw model expected 31.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 34.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.