FC København
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 544 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), FC København drew 116 where the draw model expected 124.2 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 132.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 17 Mar 2019 → 15 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 11 May 2022 → 10 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 04 Feb 2018 → 27 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 03 Dec 2023 → 07 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 11 Jul 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 29 Oct 2025 → 13 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 13 Mar 2025 → 08 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 24 Nov 2024 → 23 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 01 Aug 2021 → 30 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 28 Sep 2019 → 25 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 479 | 102 | 21.3% | 11 | 20 |
| UEFA Europa League | 113 | 32 | 28.3% | 4 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 80 | 20 | 25.0% | 1 | 6 |
| Danish Cup | 76 | 15 | 19.7% | 14 | 14 |
| UEFA Conference League | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2025 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 47 | 8 | 17.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 14 |
| 2021 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2020 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2019 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 20 |
| 2018 | 55 | 9 | 16.4% | 14 |
| 2017 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2014 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 5 |
| 2013 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2011 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2010 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 9 |
| 2008 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2007 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2006 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1997 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 04 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Oct 13:30 |
Hamburger SV
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
FC København
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 16:45 |
FK Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade)
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 20:00 |
FC København
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 10.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.