FC Cincinnati
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 300 matches (Jun 2016 – Sep 2026), FC Cincinnati drew 75 where the draw model expected 73.0 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 75.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 22 Aug 2021 → 02 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 07 Apr 2024 → 01 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 05 Oct 2025 → 05 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 27 Sep 2020 → 08 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 14 Apr 2019 → 07 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 19 Jun 2019 → 04 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 01 Jun 2025 → 20 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 30 Mar 2025 → 15 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 24 Apr 2022 → 29 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 24 Apr 2021 → 27 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 269 | 64 | 23.8% | 2 | 22 |
| US Open Cup | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 6 |
| 2025 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 8 |
| 2024 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 21 |
| 2023 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2022 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 16 |
| 2020 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 10 |
| 2019 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2018 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
Atlanta United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 23:30 |
FC Cincinnati
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 21:00 |
FC Cincinnati
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.8% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 23:00 |
FC Cincinnati
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 23:30 |
D.C. United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 23:30 |
Inter Miami CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 18:00 |
FC Cincinnati
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.9% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 21:00 |
FC Cincinnati
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.